Detroit Lions Early 2022 Offensive Stat Projections

July 17, 2022

An increase in downfield targets should open up the Lions’ offense.

Passing

Jared Goff: 4,230 yards, 25 TDs, 11 INTS

Goff only passed for 3,245 yards in 2021, so this would be a return to the form of his glory days at the Rams. New Offensive Coordinator Ben Johnson has indicated he plans to incorporate Goff’s input on what works best for him and the offense as a whole.

Rushing

Deandre Swift: 202 rushes, 910 yards, 7 TDs

Jamaal Williams: 150 rushes, 550 yards, 3 TDs

Jared Goff: 22 rushes, 60 yards, 1 TD

Amon-Ra St. Brown: 10 rushes, 77 yards, 1 TD

Other RBs/WRs: 75 rushes, 225 yards, 1 TD

It’s hard to predict individual rushing stats for the running backs behind Swift and Williams. With them both healthy, they should take a bulk of the carries. When either or both miss time, I would expect to see Craig Reynolds or Jermar Jefferson get some work in their place. These rushing totals imply similar production to last season, only because I expect more passing efficiency and the tendency to throw deep on any given down and distance.

Receiving

Amon-Ra St. Brown: 105 receptions, 980 yards, 6 TDs

DJ Chark: 90 receptions, 855 yards, 5 TDs

TJ Hockenson: 80 receptions, 730 yards, 4 TDs

Deandre Swift: 70 Receptions, 430 yards, 4 TDs

Josh Reynolds: 45 Receptions, 420 yards, 2 TDs

Jameson Williams: 35 Receptions, 410 yards, 2 TDs

Other WRs/RBs/TEs: 32 Receptions, 405 yards, 2 TDs

This projection assumes that Dan Campbell and staff play it safe with Jameson Williams and ease him into the offense after starting the season on the PUP list. I think there is a chance that Amon-Ra picks up where he left off last season and exceeds 1,000 yards, but there will also be more focus on him from other teams this year. Despite the expected increase in deep targets, Swift should still receive his healthy share of dump-offs and screen passes.